Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.