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Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Forest Green Rovers

Exeter
1 - 1
Forest Green

Brown (75')
Nombe (51'), White (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garrick (54')
Stevenson (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Exeter
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Port Vale
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

 Forest Green Rovers are in desperate need of a win after their recent results, but they are coming up against Exeter at completely the wrong time, with the hosts likely to be full of confidence after their recent victories. As such, we expect the Grecians to run out comprehensive 2-0 winners, extending their winning run to three games on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawForest Green Rovers
53.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 23.92% (0.0039999999999978 0) 22.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)48.83% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)70.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)48.98% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (0.004999999999999 0)73.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 53.8%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.28%
    Draw 23.92%
Exeter CityDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.8%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: Exeter vs Forest Green

Exeter City
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Forest Green Rovers
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Forest Green
4-1
Exeter
Matt (12'), Peart-Harris (51' pen.), Billington (54' og.), O'Keeffe (63')
Bunker (7')
Jay (41')
Sep 24, 2022 12.30pm
Forest Green
0-4
Exeter

Stevenson (25')
Nombe (6'), Brown (26' pen., 41', 83')
Jan 4, 2022 7.45pm
Forest Green
0-0
Exeter

Cadden (32'), Wilson (53'), Stevenson (87')

Collins (28')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Exeter
0-0
Forest Green

Ray (41')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Forest Green
0-0
Exeter

Moore-Taylor (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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