League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
MK Dons1 - 0Forest Green
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 0-3 Leicester
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Derby 4-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
We said: MK Dons 1-1 Forest Green Rovers
The side with just one home win this season welcomes visitors with just one win on the road, so we are expecting this to be a tight and cagey relegation scrap. Optimism is high for the arrival of a promising new coach for the Dons, but Forest Green's two wins in their last three proves that they are up for the fight, and that they should be able to secure at least a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
54.86% ( 0.03) | 22.85% ( 0.01) | 22.3% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.09) | 44.22% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( -0.08) | 66.6% ( 0.08) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( -0.02) | 16.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.66% ( -0.03) | 45.34% ( 0.03) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.19% ( -0.09) | 33.81% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.53% ( -0.09) | 70.47% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
MK Dons 54.86%
Forest Green Rovers 22.3%
Draw 22.84%
| MK Dons | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.86% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.3% |
How you voted: MK Dons vs Forest Green
MK Dons
60.0%Draw
20.0%Forest Green Rovers
20.0%10
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Forest Green
0-1
MK Dons
Form Guide
