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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
MK Dons

Portsmouth
0 - 2
MK Dons


Hackett-Fairchild (56'), Dale (58'), Ogilvie (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Johnson (34'), Tucker (64')
Jules (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 MK Dons

Although Portsmouth are winless in five league games, they are yet to lose at home this season, and we think they will beat an MK Dons side that have lost their last three away matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
59.67% (-0.379 -0.38) 22.83% (0.215 0.22) 17.5% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.91% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-0.609 -0.61)50.58% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (-0.541 -0.54)72.5% (0.53800000000001 0.54)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)16.59% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (-0.619 -0.62)46.39% (0.615 0.62)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.44% (-0.165 -0.16)42.56% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.08% (-0.139 -0.14)78.92% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 59.66%
    MK Dons 17.5%
    Draw 22.83%
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.68% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 59.66%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.83%
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.5%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs MK Dons

Portsmouth
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
MK Dons
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Portsmouth
3-2
MK Dons
Hackett-Fairchild (22'), Bishop (35' pen., 48' pen.)
Burns (19'), Eisa (61')
McEachran (38')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
MK Dons
Hirst (60')
Hirst (32'), Marquis (90+7')
Eisa (20'), Corbeanu (45')
Robson (52'), Harvie (90+8')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-0
Portsmouth
Fraser (41' pen.)
Lewington (31'), Jules (69')

Daniels (19'), Byers (90+4')
Whatmough (81')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Portsmouth
2-1
MK Dons
Naylor (2'), Harrison (23' pen.)
Naylor (88')
Fraser (12' pen.)
Lewington (68'), Jerome (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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