Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Derby (2-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup
We said: MK Dons 1-1 Derby County
Neither side are in great form coming into this clash, so we are expecting a closely-fought contest at Stadium MK. Derby know that a win could take them inside the playoff places and they will rightly be favourites here, but it would be foolish to underestimate their opponents despite their league position. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Derby County |
42.32% ( -0.02) | 26.89% ( 0.01) | 30.78% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.09% ( -0.02) | 54.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.8% ( -0.02) | 76.2% ( 0.02) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( -0.02) | 25.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.45% ( -0.03) | 60.55% ( 0.03) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.33% | 32.67% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.78% ( -0) | 69.22% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
MK Dons 42.32%
Derby County 30.78%
Draw 26.89%
| MK Dons | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.32% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.78% |
How you voted: MK Dons vs Derby
MK Dons
11.1%Draw
22.2%Derby County
66.7%9
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Sep 26, 2015 12.30pm
Mar 4, 2000 3pm
Sep 11, 1999 3pm
Jan 9, 1999 3pm
