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Championship header 2

League One
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Derby logo

MK Dons
1 - 3
Derby

Barry (41')
Harvie (45+1'), Lewington (46'), Dennis (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roberts (43'), Collins (53'), Mendez-Laing (79')
Mendez-Laing (39'), Rooney (67'), Wildsmith (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Derby (2-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Derby County

 Neither side are in great form coming into this clash, so we are expecting a closely-fought contest at Stadium MK. Derby know that a win could take them inside the playoff places and they will rightly be favourites here, but it would be foolish to underestimate their opponents despite their league position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawDerby County
42.32% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 26.89% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 30.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.09% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)54.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)76.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)25.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)60.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33%32.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)69.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 42.32%
    Derby County 30.78%
    Draw 26.89%
MK DonsDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.32%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.78%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Derby

MK Dons
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Derby County
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Derby
0-1
MK Dons

Johnson (39'), Hendrick (72')
Forster-Caskey (82')
Maynard (45'), Carruthers (46')
Sep 26, 2015 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Mar 4, 2000 3pm
Derby
4-0
MK Dons
Kinkladze (65'), Christie (71'), Burton (89'), Sturridge (90')
Sep 11, 1999 3pm
MK Dons
2-2
Derby
Euell (63'), Hartson (62')
Carbonari (14'), Johnson (81')
Jan 9, 1999 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Derby
Roberts (83'), Euell (8')
Wanchope (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623
> League One Full Table


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