Bolton1 - 0Forest Green
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Forest Green Rovers
Although Forest Green emerged victorious in the reverse fixture, they have lost six of their last seven competitive games, and we think that they will be edged out by a Bolton side, who usually perform well on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
69.99% ( 0.04) | 18.43% ( -0.03) | 11.58% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.89% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% ( 0.09) | 43.97% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.65% ( 0.09) | 66.35% ( -0.09) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.63% ( 0.04) | 11.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.92% ( 0.08) | 36.09% ( -0.08) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.91% ( 0.05) | 47.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.44% ( 0.04) | 82.56% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 2-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 9.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 69.98% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 18.43% | 0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 11.58% |
