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Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Portsmouth

Bolton
1 - 0
Portsmouth

FT(HT: 1-0)

Curtis (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Portsmouth

We expect to see an entertaining encounter at the University of Bolton Stadium on Tuesday, with both teams likely to play with more freedom than they will in their forthcoming league meeting at the weekend. Ultimately, though, Bolton are a far more settled unit under Evatt than their manager-less opponents, and should be able to squeeze out a victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
52.69% (7.122 7.12) 23.5% (-1.727 -1.73) 23.81% (-5.39 -5.39)
Both teams to score 55.35% (0.885 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (3.385 3.39)45.45% (-3.381 -3.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (3.149 3.15)67.78% (-3.147 -3.15)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (4.217 4.22)17.22% (-4.213 -4.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (6.932 6.93)47.52% (-6.927 -6.93)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-2.459 -2.46)33.14% (2.464 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-2.81 -2.81)69.74% (2.814 2.81)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 52.69%
    Portsmouth 23.81%
    Draw 23.49%
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.536 0.54)
2-0 @ 8.83% (1.03 1.03)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.986 0.99)
3-0 @ 5.18% (1.173 1.17)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.362 0.36)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.693 0.69)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.735 0.74)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.312 0.31)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.69%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.88 -0.88)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.868 -0.87)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-1.467 -1.47)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.947 -0.95)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-1.109 -1.11)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.527 -0.53)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Bolton vs Portsmouth

Bolton Wanderers
82.6%
Draw
13.0%
Portsmouth
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Bolton
Pitman (66')
Curtis (32'), Close (58')

Hobbs (45'), Lowe (50')
Apr 24, 2010 3pm
Bolton
2-2
Portsmouth
Davies (28'), Klasnic (26')
Muamba (65')
Dindane (54', 68')
Hughes (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City5410135813
2Liverpool5401101912
3Aston Villa5401107312
4Arsenal532083511
5Chelsea5311115610
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle531176110
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton52308449
8Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest52306429
9Fulham52217528
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
17Ipswich TownIpswich503238-53
18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91


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