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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
MK Dons

Forest Green
1 - 2
MK Dons

FT(HT: 1-1)
Eisa (43', 51')
Johnson (48'), McEachran (55'), Cumming (86'), Grant (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-0 MK Dons

This is destined to be a close-fought battle between two sides struggling at the bottom end of the table, meaning Forest Green and MK Dons are likely to play out a tense, low-scoring encounter. Given that Rovers have won two of their previous four home games in the league, the hosts could sneak another slender victory on Saturday, having produced a spirited performance against Championship opposition last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawMK Dons
40.23% (-0.623 -0.62) 26.97% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 32.81% (0.705 0.7)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (0.47499999999999 0.47)54.64% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (0.394 0.39)75.97% (-0.392 -0.39)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)26.64% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (-0.157 -0.16)61.88% (0.16 0.16)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.723 0.72)31.12% (-0.719 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (0.833 0.83)67.45% (-0.83 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 40.22%
    MK Dons 32.81%
    Draw 26.97%
Forest Green RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.132 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.81%

How you voted: Forest Green vs MK Dons

Forest Green Rovers
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
MK Dons
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Forest Green
Aneke (31')
Cisse (89')
Reid (80' pen.)
Gunning (52')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Forest Green
0-1
MK Dons
Ariyibi (110')
Cisse (28'), Ebanks-Landell (37'), Williams (45'), Downing (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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