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League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
MK Dons

Peterborough
2 - 0
MK Dons

Ward (38'), Jade-Jones (48')
Burrows (27'), Poku (73'), Jade-Jones (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Grigg (30'), Jules (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Peterborough United and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 MK Dons

The visitors are unquestionably in better form heading into this match, having seemingly put their early season woes behind them. As such, we expect an entertaining encounter, with both teams unlikely to be too perturbed by gaining a point should the match be heading into that direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawMK Dons
61.46% (-0.226 -0.23) 21.62% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 16.92% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 50.49% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (0.028999999999996 0.03)46.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (0.026 0.03)68.8% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)14.62% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.26% (-0.12 -0.12)42.73% (0.118 0.12)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.14% (0.225 0.23)40.86% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.57% (0.199 0.2)77.43% (-0.202 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 61.45%
    MK Dons 16.92%
    Draw 21.62%
Peterborough UnitedDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 61.45%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.6% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 16.92%

How you voted: Peterborough vs MK Dons

Peterborough United
47.1%
Draw
23.5%
MK Dons
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
2-3
Peterborough
Harvie (90'), Smith (90+1')
Clarke-Harris (3'), Poku (36'), Jade-Jones (54')
Fuchs (32')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
MK Dons
1-1
Peterborough
Jerome (78')
Sorinola (32'), Lewington (53'), Kasumu (55'), Harvie (65')
Clarke-Harris (25')
Pym (45+1'), Burrows (68')
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
MK Dons
0-4
Peterborough

Boateng (62'), Harley (93')
Maddison (21'), Toney (28'), Eisa (40', 72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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