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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | MK Dons |
61.46% ( -0.23) | 21.62% ( 0.06) | 16.92% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.47% ( 0.03) | 46.52% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.2% ( 0.03) | 68.8% ( -0.03) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% ( -0.06) | 14.62% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.26% ( -0.12) | 42.73% ( 0.12) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.14% ( 0.23) | 40.86% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.57% ( 0.2) | 77.43% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 61.45% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Barnsley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Blackpool | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
15 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Crawley TownCrawley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Burton Albion | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |