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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Portsmouth

Bolton
3 - 0
Portsmouth

Charles (15'), Lee (48'), Toal (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrell (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Portsmouth

While Bolton managed to get the better of Portsmouth on Tuesday, Pompey are unbeaten in their last four League One meetings against the Trotters, and we think that they will extend that run by holding their hosts to a draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
56.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.12% (0.0020000000000024 0) 19.79%
Both teams to score 48.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)52.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 56.07%
    Portsmouth 19.8%
    Draw 24.12%
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 12.82%
2-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 56.07%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.8%

How you voted: Bolton vs Portsmouth

Bolton Wanderers
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Portsmouth
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Bolton
Pitman (66')
Curtis (32'), Close (58')

Hobbs (45'), Lowe (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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