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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
25.04% ( 0.04) | 25.48% ( 0.02) | 49.47% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.41% ( -0.04) | 52.58% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.76% ( -0.04) | 74.24% ( 0.03) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% ( 0.02) | 35.96% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.26% ( 0.02) | 72.73% ( -0.02) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( -0.05) | 21.27% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.8% ( -0.07) | 54.19% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.04% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 11.83% 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 49.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |