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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Portsmouth |
52.31% ( -0.01) | 24.55% ( -0.01) | 23.14% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.21% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.45% ( 0.05) | 50.54% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.53% ( 0.05) | 72.46% ( -0.05) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% ( 0.02) | 19.29% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.96% ( 0.02) | 51.04% ( -0.02) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.45% ( 0.05) | 36.54% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.67% ( 0.05) | 73.33% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.3% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |