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Venezia
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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Venezia

Roma
2 - 1
Venezia

Cristante (75'), Pisilli (83')
Cristante (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pohjanpalo (44')
Idzes (39'), Candela (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Venezia 2-0 Genoa
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-0 Venezia

Fired up by their failure to finish the job last time out, Roma should make a fast start against Venezia, who have conceded the most goals during the first 30 minutes of play in Serie A this season - at an average of one per game. The visitors do not tend to travel well and may be a little overawed on their arrival at Stadio Olimpico, where the hosts can finally post successive league wins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 18.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawVenezia
60.15% (0.203 0.2) 21.08% (-0.09 -0.09) 18.77% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.96% (0.10400000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.94% (0.237 0.24)41.06% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.54% (0.24 0.24)63.46% (-0.235 -0.23)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74% (0.13800000000001 0.14)13.26% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.95% (0.273 0.27)40.05% (-0.267 -0.27)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51% (0.022000000000006 0.02)35.48% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)72.25% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Roma 60.15%
    Venezia 18.77%
    Draw 21.08%
RomaDrawVenezia
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.47% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.27% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 9.85% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 18.77%

How you voted: Roma vs Venezia

Roma
94.0%
Draw
4.8%
Venezia
1.2%
83
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Roma
1-1
Venezia
Shomurodov (76')
Spinazzola (39'), Pellegrini (68')
Okereke (1')
Kiyine (18'), Vacca (26'), Okereke (61'), Ampadu (78'), Peretz (87')
Kiyine (32')
Nov 7, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Venezia
3-2
Roma
Caldara (3'), Aramu (65' pen.), Okereke (74')
Kiyine (47'), Romero (90+4')
Shomurodov (43'), Abraham (45+2')
Karsdorp (17'), Abraham (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli7511145916
2Inter Milan7421169714
3Juventus7340101913
4Udinese74121010013
5AC Milan6321147711
6Torino73221211111
7Atalanta BCAtalanta73131613310
8Empoli624052310
9Lazio63121210210
10Roma62317439
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona7304121209
12Como72231014-48
13Fiorentina61417707
14Bologna614179-27
15CagliariCagliari7133511-66
16Parma61231012-25
17Lecce7124312-95
18Genoa7124515-105
19VeneziaVenezia7115512-74
20Monza603348-43


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