Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan4 - 0Venezia
We said: AC Milan 3-1 Venezia
Already nearing must-win territory for Paulo Fonseca, his Milan side will surely see off a Venezia team that look set for a long season of struggle. The visitors lack bite in the final third, and their shaky defence can be exploited by the guile and speed of Rafa Leao, Christian Pulisic and co. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Venezia |
64.46% ( 0.01) | 19.87% ( -0) | 15.67% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
