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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

AC Milan
3 - 3
Salernitana

Leao (22'), Giroud (27'), Calabria (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Simy (64', 89'), Sambia (87')
Pierozzi (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 3-1 AC Milan
Saturday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana

Salernitana have won just one away match on their way down to Serie B, and that tally is not set to increase at Milan's expense. Although they seem to have mentally switched off, the Rossoneri may rouse themselves to honour Stefano Pioli in his final game at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 82.62%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
82.62% (0.825 0.83) 11.12% (-0.394 -0.39) 6.26% (-0.432 -0.43)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.919 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.17% (0.182 0.18)25.83% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54% (0.238 0.24)45.99% (-0.238 -0.24)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.43% (0.164 0.16)4.57% (-0.1649 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.33% (0.5 0.5)18.67% (-0.502 -0.5)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.2% (-1.059 -1.06)45.8% (1.057 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (-0.839 -0.84)81.57% (0.837 0.84)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 82.61%
    Salernitana 6.26%
    Draw 11.12%
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
3-0 @ 10.24% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 8% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 7.91% (0.265 0.27)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 6.17% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.88% (0.217 0.22)
5-1 @ 3.81% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.115 -0.12)
6-0 @ 2.51% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.061 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.96% (0.053 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.11% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 82.61%
1-1 @ 5.04% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 11.12%
1-2 @ 1.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 1.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 6.26%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Salernitana

AC Milan
89.8%
Draw
4.1%
Salernitana
6.1%
49
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Fazio (42'), Candreva (63')
Inzaghi (33'), Kastanos (44'), Mazzocchi (71'), Gyomber (74')
Fiorillo (90+4')
Tomori (17'), Jovic (90')
Leao (35')
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
AC Milan
1-1
Salernitana
Giroud (45+1')
Dia (61')
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 16
Salernitana
1-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (83')
Leao (10'), Tonali (15')
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
AC Milan
2-0
Salernitana
Kessie (5'), Saelemaekers (18')
Bakayoko (24')

Di Tacchio (30'), Djuric (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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