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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Salernitana

Lazio
4 - 1
Salernitana

Anderson (7', 35'), Vecino (14'), Isaksen (87')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Tchaouna (16')
Coulibaly (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Lazio
Saturday, April 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Salernitana

Despite Lazio's struggles in front of goal - since the 1994-95 season, 37 goals after 31 games outdo only 29 goals at this stage in 2009-10 - the Biancocelesti should secure the much-needed points in their continental chase. Tudor's men should make the most of playing lowly opposition and secure a win as a consequence to get back on track after a difficult 10 days. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.33%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawSalernitana
69.12% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08) 19.9% (0.055 0.05) 10.99% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 40.52% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)51.55% (0.144 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (-0.121 -0.12)73.34% (0.12599999999999 0.13)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)13.86% (0.068 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.75% (-0.131 -0.13)41.25% (0.136 0.14)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.04% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)52.96% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.38% (-0.023 -0.02)86.62% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 69.11%
    Salernitana 10.99%
    Draw 19.9%
LazioDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 14.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 14.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 69.11%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 19.9%
0-1 @ 4.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 10.99%

How you voted: Lazio vs Salernitana

Lazio
85.8%
Draw
8.5%
Salernitana
5.7%
106
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Salernitana
2-1
Lazio
Kastanos (55'), Candreva (66')
Gyomber (42'), Daniliuc (53'), Inzaghi (65'), Maggiore (84'), Fazio (88'), Coulibaly (90+4')
Immobile (43' pen.)
Lazzari (32'), Cataldi (79'), Vecino (90+4')
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 23
Salernitana
0-2
Lazio
Immobile (60', 69')
Oct 30, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 12
Lazio
1-3
Salernitana
Zaccagni (41')
Candreva (51'), Fazio (68'), Dia (76')
Jan 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Salernitana
0-3
Lazio

Schiavone (41'), Ranieri (63')
Immobile (7', 10'), Lazzari (66')
Cataldi (28'), Lazzari (66'), Felipe (69')
Nov 7, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 12
Lazio
3-0
Salernitana
Immobile (31'), Pedro (36'), Alberto (69')
Cataldi (11')

Gyomber (9'), Obi (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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