Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana2 - 1Lazio
We said: Salernitana 0-1 Lazio
While Lazio have lost three of their last five away games, those defeats were to Milan, Juventus and Bologna, and they should return to winning ways on Saturday with a marginal victory in Salerno. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Lazio |
28.35% ( 0.01) | 25.44% ( 0) | 46.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
