Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
13.93% | 20.32% ( -0) | 65.76% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.36% ( 0) | 46.64% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.09% ( 0) | 68.91% ( -0) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.01% ( -0) | 44.98% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.08% | 80.92% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.65% ( 0) | 13.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.78% ( 0) | 40.22% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.86% 2-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.04% 3-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.29% Total : 13.93% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.32% | 0-2 @ 12.17% 0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-3 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.53% 0-4 @ 4.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-5 @ 1.66% 1-5 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.76% Total : 65.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Torino | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Udinese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
5 | Juventus | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Inter Milan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
8 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
10 | Roma | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
11 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Bologna | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
13 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
14 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
16 | Como | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |