Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan4 - 0Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Inter Milan
Monday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Fiorentina
Both teams have started productively this season, so several goals could be on the cards - if not quite the total of seven shared out in last autumn's thriller. Inter's squad is more settled than Fiorentina's, which has been in flux right up until deadline day, and they should start September with a win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
41.83% ( 0.48) | 25.65% ( 0.38) | 32.52% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% ( -1.88) | 49.29% ( 1.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% ( -1.72) | 71.34% ( 1.72) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( -0.58) | 23.4% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.62% ( -0.85) | 57.38% ( 0.86) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( -1.46) | 28.64% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.55% ( -1.87) | 64.45% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
Inter Milan 41.83%
Fiorentina 32.52%
Draw 25.65%
| Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.52% |
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Fiorentina
Inter Milan
86.1%Draw
9.7%Fiorentina
4.2%72
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 5pm
Oct 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
3-4
Inter Milan
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 30
Inter Milan
1-1
Fiorentina
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Fiorentina
1-3
Inter Milan
Form Guide
