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Serie A
Inter logo
Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

Inter Milan
3 - 2
Atalanta

Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 20 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Atalanta BC

 While no team has won more home matches in this season's Serie A than Inter, their visitors boast the third-best away record in Italy's top flight. It may be just one goal that splits the sides, then, but the hosts' momentum is still building whereas Atalanta are a more hit-and-miss proposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
58.27% (0.067 0.07) 23.6% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 18.13% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36% (-0.275 -0.27)52.64% (0.274 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.238 -0.24)74.29% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)17.82% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (-0.133 -0.13)48.56% (0.132 0.13)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (-0.286 -0.29)43.01% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (-0.242 -0.24)79.3% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 58.27%
    Atalanta BC 18.13%
    Draw 23.59%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 13.22% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atalanta

Inter Milan
78.9%
Draw
14.1%
Atalanta BC
7.0%
71
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Darmian (57')
Gosens (32'), Martinez (82'), Onana (90+4'), Correa (90+1')

Soppy (90')
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 15
Atalanta
2-3
Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
de Vrij (74')
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 22
Atalanta
0-0
Inter Milan

de Roon (37'), Luis Palomino (84')

Brozovic (42'), Calhanoglu (62')
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
gameweek 6
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
Mar 8, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Skriniar (54')
Conte (12')

Romero (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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