Coppa Italia | Final
May 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina1 - 2Inter Milan
The Match
Match Report
Two goals from Lautaro Martinez help Inter Milan beat Fiorentina 2-1 in the Coppa Italia final.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Inter Milan |
43.12% ( -0.02) | 25.14% ( -0) | 31.74% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( 0.01) | 47.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( 0.01) | 69.56% ( -0.02) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( -0) | 21.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.79% ( -0.01) | 55.21% ( 0) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( 0.02) | 28.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.11% ( 0.02) | 63.88% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 43.12%
Inter Milan 31.74%
Draw 25.13%
| Fiorentina | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.74% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Inter Milan
Fiorentina
18.7%Draw
12.2%Inter Milan
69.1%123
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 5pm
gameweek 28
Inter Milan
0-1
Fiorentina
Oct 22, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Fiorentina
3-4
Inter Milan
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
gameweek 30
Inter Milan
1-1
Fiorentina
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 5
Fiorentina
1-3
Inter Milan
Form Guide
