Coppa Italia | Final

May 24, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Gonzalez (3')
Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Martinez (29', 37')
Bastoni (53')

The Match

Match Report

Two goals from Lautaro Martinez help Inter Milan beat Fiorentina 2-1 in the Coppa Italia final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Inter Milan
43.12% ( -0.02)	25.14% ( -0)	31.74% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.06% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.66% (

0.01)

47.34% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.44% (

0.01)

69.56% (

-0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.07% (

-0)

21.93% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.79% (

-0.01)

55.21% (

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81% (

0.02)

28.19% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.11% (

0.02)

63.88% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 43.12%

Inter Milan 31.74%

Draw 25.13%

Fiorentina	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.12%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.74%