Coppa Italia | Round of 16

Jan 12, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Barak (25')
Amrabat (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sabiri (24'), Murillo (54'), Rincon (88'), Contini (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sampdoria

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Napoli
Sunday, January 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 2-0 Sampdoria

Given these two sides' respective league positions, we expect Fiorentina to take this cup tie much more seriously and produce a comfortable victory to reach the quarter-finals of this competition for the 11th time in 13 seasons. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Sampdoria
62.76% ( -0.34)	20.12% ( 0.03)	17.12% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 56% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.57% (

0.46)

39.43% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.22% (

0.48)

61.77% (

-0.47)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.99% (

0.05)

12% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.55% (

0.09)

37.45% (

-0.09)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.64% (

0.64)

36.35% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.86% (

0.64)

73.14% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 62.76%

Sampdoria 17.12%

Draw 20.12%

Fiorentina	Draw	Sampdoria
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.89% Total : 62.76%	1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.12%	1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.12%