Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Jan 7, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Saponara (48'), Gonzalez (90+1' pen.)
Milenkovic (10'), Dodo (56'), Castrovilli (75'), Gonzalez (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Berardi (57' pen.)
Traore (19'), Ruan (26'), Berardi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Monza
Wednesday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Sampdoria
Wednesday, January 4 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Sassuolo

Either side has had their struggles in the final third this season, after both previously earned a reputation for attack-minded football and guaranteed goals. It could therefore be a tight contest at the Franchi, where the home side are set to come out on top thanks to their greater depth of individual talent and potential game-changers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Sassuolo
65.1% ( -0.02)	18.62% ( 0.01)	16.27% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.67% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.18% (

-0.02)

33.82% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.34% (

-0.02)

55.66% (

0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.22% (

-0.01)

9.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.49% (

-0.02)

32.51% (

0.02)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14% (

-0)

33.86% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.47% (

-0)

70.53% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 65.1%

Sassuolo 16.27%

Draw 18.62%

Fiorentina	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.95% 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.03% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 4.49% Total : 65.1%	1-1 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.62%	1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.71% Total : 16.27%