Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 5, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 0
Sassuolo

Baldanzi (64')
Marin (27'), Fazzini (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 4-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, October 29 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli and Sassuolo have never drawn a Serie A match in 10 previous meetings at the top level, but given both sides' recent troubles in attack, a low-scoring encounter could be on the cards. This term, the Azzurri have won just once at home; the Neroverdi only once away, so a stalemate is surely in store at the Castellani. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Sassuolo
35.36% ( -0.74)	23.83% ( -0.13)	40.81% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 61.85% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.72% (

0.5)

40.28% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.35% (

0.52)

62.65% (

-0.51)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32% (

-0.16)

22.69% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.66% (

-0.24)

56.34% (

0.24)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.99% (

0.61)

20.01% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.8% (

0.97)

52.2% (

-0.97)

Score Analysis

Empoli 35.36%

Sassuolo 40.81%

Draw 23.83%

Empoli	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.36%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.07% Total : 40.81%