Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Oct 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
4 - 0
Empoli

Kean (8'), McKennie (56'), Rabiot (82', 90+4')
Cuadrado (36'), Rabiot (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Satriano (58'), Haas (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Monza
Saturday, October 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both of these sides' league games this season have only averaged exactly two goals per game, so it is hard to envisage either goalkeeper being too busy on Friday. We can see Juventus recording another narrow victory to move themselves one place upwards in the table, with their 3-5-2 formation appearing to suit their key personnel much better than 4-4-2. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Empoli
68.03% ( -0.07)	18.54% ( 0.03)	13.42% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 52.28% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.18% (

-0.05)

39.81% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.82% (

-0.05)

62.17% (

0.04)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.28% (

-0.03)

10.72% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.34% (

-0.06)

34.65% (

0.06)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.55% (

0.03)

41.44% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.05% (

0.02)

77.95% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Juventus 68.02%

Empoli 13.42%

Draw 18.54%

Juventus	Draw	Empoli
2-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.2% 5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 4.26% Total : 68.02%	1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.54%	0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.42%