Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Feb 26, 2022 at 5.05pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
2 - 3
Juventus

Zurkowski (40'), La Mantia (76')
Ismajli (51'), Parisi (73')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kean (32'), Vlahovic (45+2', 66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Juventus will not make the same mistake twice against an ailing Empoli side, and with renewed coherence since the sides last met, should be able to breach their hosts' flimsy rearguard on more than one occasion. With the Azzurri in a downward spiral, they may have to change approach in order to arrest their decline, but even shuffling the pack would not stop Juve from claiming maximum points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.95%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.51%) and 0-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Juventus
22.4%	20.65%	56.95%

Both teams to score 63.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.2%

33.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.36%

55.65%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13%

27.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.52%

63.48%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.13%

11.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.84%

37.16%

Score Analysis

Empoli 22.4%

Juventus 56.95%

Draw 20.65%

Empoli	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 5.75% 1-0 @ 4.23% 2-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.51% Total : 22.4%	1-1 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 3.31% 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.65%	1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 7.51% 0-1 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 6.82% 0-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 4.36% 1-4 @ 3.63% 0-4 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 2.32% 1-5 @ 1.55% 0-5 @ 1.21% 2-5 @ 0.99% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.73% Total : 56.95%