Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 19, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
2 - 0
Empoli

Quagliarella (14', 29')
Bereszynski (42'), Ekdal (45'), Candreva (65'), Conti (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bajrami (31'), Asllani (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Even amid some failing form, Empoli are a tough nut to crack away from home, and were within minutes of ending their winless run last weekend. So with neither team particularly potent of late - Samp's freak victory over Sassuolo aside - this clash is all set for a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Empoli
39.17%	23.87%	36.96%

Both teams to score 61.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.76%

40.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.39%

62.6%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.25%

20.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.63%

53.37%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16%

21.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94%

55.06%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 39.17%

Empoli 36.96%

Draw 23.87%

Sampdoria	Draw	Empoli
2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.17%	1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 8.25% 0-1 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.96%