Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Cagliari |
43.98% | 24.9% | 31.13% |
Both teams to score 56.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.49% | 46.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.21% | 68.79% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.81% | 21.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.93% | 54.07% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% | 28.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.13% | 63.87% |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |