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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Roma logo

Empoli
2 - 4
Roma

Pinamonti (55'), Bajrami (72')
Tonelli (63'), Benassi (83')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Abraham (24', 33'), Oliveira (35'), Zaniolo (37')
Mancini (52'), Cristante (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Empoli 1-2 Roma

Winless for weeks, Empoli have been unable to pick up many points at home, while hit-and-miss Roma are often below-par away. The visitors' increasing options, following further recruitment in the current transfer window, mean that they can edge a close-fought game by a one-goal margin - at least keeping them in the top-six mix. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.64%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.89%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawRoma
23.21%20.14%56.64%
Both teams to score 66.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.75%30.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.51%51.49%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78%25.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04%59.96%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18%10.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.12%34.88%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 23.21%
    Roma 56.64%
    Draw 20.14%
EmpoliDrawRoma
2-1 @ 5.76%
1-0 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-1 @ 2.64%
2-0 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 1.01%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 23.21%
1-1 @ 8.36%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 2.73%
3-3 @ 2.18%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 20.14%
1-2 @ 9.3%
1-3 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 6.75%
0-1 @ 6.07%
0-3 @ 5%
2-3 @ 4.75%
1-4 @ 3.83%
0-4 @ 2.78%
2-4 @ 2.64%
1-5 @ 1.7%
0-5 @ 1.24%
3-4 @ 1.21%
2-5 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 56.64%

How you voted: Empoli vs Roma

Empoli
10.1%
Draw
16.5%
Roma
73.4%
79
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Pellegrini (42'), Mkhitaryan (48')
Mancini (57'), Zaniolo (85')

Ricci (46'), Haas (56'), Stojanovic (90+1')
Mar 11, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
Roma
2-1
Empoli
El Shaarawy (9'), Schick (33')
Florenzi (13'), Cristante (13'), El Shaarawy (62')
Florenzi (80')
Jesus (12' og.)
Acquah (37')
Oct 6, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Empoli
0-2
Roma

Bennacer (35'), Silvestre (83')
N'Zonzi (36'), Dzeko (85')
Pellegrini (49')
Apr 1, 2017 7.45pm
Roma
2-0
Empoli
Dzeko (12', 56')

Krunic (43')
Oct 30, 2016 2pm
Empoli
0-0
Roma
Veseli (11'), Bellusci (18'), Pasqual (35'), Diousse (62'), Gilardino (67'), Tello (76')
Manolas (30'), De Rossi (67'), Salah (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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