Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 18, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
1 - 4
Roma

Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Atalanta, by far the team demonstrating the greater cohesion and flair over the past few weeks, must surely be favoured for a fourth win in five versus Roma on Saturday. Relatively untroubled by injuries, the hosts' squad is packed with various attacking options who can tilt the balance in their favour, while - as Mourinho loves to point out - the visitors' resources are rather more stretched. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Roma
48.79%	22.49%	28.71%

Both teams to score 63.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.39%

36.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.24%

58.76%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63%

15.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.84%

44.15%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.2%

24.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.62%

59.37%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 48.79%

Roma 28.71%

Draw 22.49%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 4.06% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.01% Total : 48.79%	1-1 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.71%