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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Roma logo

Atalanta
4 - 1
Roma

Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Roma had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
40.76%22.5%36.74%
Both teams to score 67.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65%33.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.87%55.13%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88%17.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66%47.34%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13%18.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67%50.33%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 40.76%
    Roma 36.74%
    Draw 22.5%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
2-1 @ 8.39%
1-0 @ 5.7%
2-0 @ 5.03%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 40.76%
1-1 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 7%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 4.41%
2-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.04%
3-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.74%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
43.0%
Draw
14.0%
Roma
43.0%
93
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 5
Roma
0-2
Atalanta

Zaniolo (40'), Jesus (89')
Zapata (71'), De Roon (90')
Kjaer (25')
Jan 27, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 21
Atalanta
3-3
Roma
Castagne (45'), Toloi (59'), Zapata (71')
Dzeko (3', 33'), El Shaarawy (40')
Cristante (23'), Manolas (35'), N'Zonzi (64')
Aug 27, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Roma
3-3
Atalanta
Pastore (2'), Florenzi (60'), Manolas (82')
N'Zonzi (58')
Castagne (19'), Rigoni (22', 38')
Djimsiti (81')
Jan 6, 2018 5pm
Roma
1-2
Atalanta
Dzeko (56')
Fazio (90')
Cornelius (14'), De Roon (19')
de Roon (28'), Caldara (30')
de Roon (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torino532085311
2Udinese431074310
3Napoli43019459
4Empoli52305239
5Inter Milan42209368
6Juventus42206068
7Lazio42118627
8Atalanta BCAtalanta42028806
9Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
10AC Milan41219635
11Genoa412145-15
12Parma411267-14
13Lecce411216-54
14Fiorentina403156-13
15Monza403134-13
16Roma403123-13
17Bologna403147-33
18Como402237-42
19CagliariCagliari502318-72
20VeneziaVenezia401318-71


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