Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Roma had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Roma |
41.15% | 23.86% | 34.99% |
Both teams to score 61.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.54% | 40.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.16% | 62.84% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.07% | 19.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.93% | 52.08% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.03% | 22.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.24% | 56.76% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.09% Total : 41.15% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.21% Total : 34.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |