Napoli

2 - 0

Rijeka

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.