Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
CSKA Sofia	Draw	Roma
35.13%	24.42%	40.45%

Both teams to score 59.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.88%

43.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.48%

65.52%

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87%

24.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.57%

58.42%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61%

21.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.62%

54.37%

Score Analysis

CSKA Sofia 35.13%

Roma 40.45%

Draw 24.41%

CSKA Sofia	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 8.05% 1-0 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.13%	1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 8.73% 0-1 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 4.49% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.45%