Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma4 - 0Luhansk
We said: Roma 3-1 Zorya Luhansk
Looking to avoid the stress of requiring a result in their last match, Mourinho will likely name a strong side on Thursday. While their defensive frailties could be on show again, the Italian giants should have plenty in the tank to post a convincing win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 11.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.08%) and 3-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.67%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 64.91% | 23.24% | 11.85% |
| Both teams to score 34.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
