Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.