Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Dec 1, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 0
Roma

Svanberg (35')
Soriano (38'), Skorupski (88'), Sansone (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Abraham (45+1'), Perez (59'), Zaniolo (72'), Mourinho (81'), Karsdorp (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

While Roma have consistently performed well at Stadio Olimpico this season, that has not always been the case away from home. With that in mind, we are going to predict a low-scoring draw, a result which may be regarded as satisfactory by both clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Roma
32.79%	23.38%	43.83%

Both teams to score 62.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.24%

38.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.93%

61.06%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61%

23.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63%

57.37%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92%

18.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.01%

48.99%

Score Analysis

Bologna 32.79%

Roma 43.83%

Draw 23.37%

Bologna	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 7.63% 1-0 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.79%	1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.76% Total : 43.83%