Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
