Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma1 - 0Cagliari
We said: Roma 2-1 Cagliari
Though momentum is definitely in the visitors' favour, Roma can relieve the growing pressure on their shoulders by taking advantage of Cagliari's tendency to toil fruitlessly on the mainland. Some fresh blood may help heal the psychological scars of last week's defeat, and a potential shift of formation may bring some short-lived vitality to an ailing Giallorossi side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
| 69.9% | 17.73% | 12.37% |
| Both teams to score 51.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
