Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 77.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 3-0 (11.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
77.48% | 15.19% | 7.33% |
Both teams to score 40.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.24% | 42.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.83% | 65.16% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.84% | 9.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.95% | 31.05% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.57% | 55.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.86% | 88.14% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 14.5% 1-0 @ 12.13% 3-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 8.56% 4-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 6.82% 4-1 @ 4.08% 5-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.95% 6-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.12% Total : 77.46% | 1-1 @ 7.16% 0-0 @ 5.08% 2-2 @ 2.53% Other @ 0.43% Total : 15.19% | 0-1 @ 3% 1-2 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.22% Total : 7.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |