Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 9, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Stadio Friuli

Udinese
2 - 6
Atalanta

Djimsiti (59' og.), Beto (88')
Becao (30'), Deulofeu (44')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Pasalic (17'), Muriel (22', 76'), Malinovskyi (43'), Maehle (89'), Pessina (90+2')
de Roon (45+1'), Djimsiti (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Udinese 0-2 Atalanta BC

A number of factors are in Atalanta's favour ahead of this encounter at the Friuli, as not only do they possess the greater individual quality in the final third, but they are also completely fearless away from home. Udinese, of course, have had a serious virus outbreak in their squad too, so the odds are against the Bianconeri salvaging even a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Atalanta BC
20.8%	23.74%	55.46%

Both teams to score 50.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.25%

49.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.24%

71.75%

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.63%

38.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.87%

75.12%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.21%

17.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.49%

48.5%

Score Analysis

Udinese 20.8%

Atalanta BC 55.45%

Draw 23.73%

Udinese	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 6.54% 2-1 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 3.13% 3-1 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.51% Total : 20.8%	1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.73%	0-1 @ 11.78% 0-2 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-3 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 5.61% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-4 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 2.42% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.49% Total : 55.45%