Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Jun 28, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
2 - 3
Atalanta

Lasagna (31', 87')
Becao (69'), Zeegelaar (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zapata (9'), Muriel (71', 79')
Malinovskiy (40'), Caldara (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Atalanta BC, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Udinese win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Atalanta BC
18.35%	19.45%	62.2%

Both teams to score 61.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.02%

33.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.16%

55.85%

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.31%

31.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.89%

68.11%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.47%

10.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.76%

34.24%

Score Analysis

Udinese 18.35%

Atalanta BC 62.2%

Draw 19.45%

Udinese	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 4.96% 1-0 @ 3.84% 2-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.31% Total : 18.35%	1-1 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 3.34% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.45%	1-2 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 8.46% 0-1 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 7.29% 0-3 @ 6.34% 2-3 @ 4.19% 1-4 @ 4.1% 0-4 @ 3.57% 2-4 @ 2.36% 1-5 @ 1.85% 0-5 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.06% 3-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.25% Total : 62.2%