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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Sampdoria logo

Spezia
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Verde (69')
Erlic (30'), Verde (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thorsby (37'), Ekdal (47'), Rincon (52')
Ekdal (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Spezia 1-1 Sampdoria

Giampaolo is likely to come in and bring some organisation to his Sampdoria side, so with this being his first match back in charge, and with it being away from home, he will be determined not to lose it and could set up to be defensively stubborn. As a result, and with these sides being evenly matched overall despite their differing form lately, we are predicting this to be a nervy affair that finishes in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawSampdoria
39.84%26.6%33.56%
Both teams to score 51.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.97%53.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.38%74.62%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9%26.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84%61.16%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18%29.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1%65.9%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 39.84%
    Sampdoria 33.56%
    Draw 26.6%
SpeziaDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 9.42%
1-2 @ 7.65%
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 33.56%

How you voted: Spezia vs Sampdoria

Spezia
52.2%
Draw
30.4%
Sampdoria
17.4%
46
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Sampdoria
2-1
Spezia
Gyasi (15' og.), Candreva (36')
Bereszynski (44'), Colley (45+2'), Candreva (57')
Verde (90+5')
Hristov (14')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Sampdoria
2-2
Spezia
Verre (32'), Balde (80')
Verre (66'), Ekdal (89')
Pobega (15', 73')
Maggiore (34'), Farias (88')
Jan 11, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Spezia
2-1
Sampdoria
Terzi (20'), N'Zola (60' pen.)
Farias (37'), Gyasi (90+2'), Marchizza (90+4'), Agudelo (90+5')
Candreva (24')
Yoshida (34'), Bereszynski (56'), Jankto (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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