Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 6, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Spezia1 - 2Hellas Verona
We said: Spezia 1-3 Hellas Verona
Despite the result before the scheduled break, the pressure remains firmly on Spezia's shoulders ahead of this game. With Verona able to play with a greater freedom, we are backing the visitors to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 33.37% | 26.2% | 40.42% |
| Both teams to score 53.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.6% | 51.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% | 73.21% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% | 29.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.93% | 65.06% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% | 25.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.27% | 59.72% |
| Score Analysis |
Spezia 33.37%
Hellas Verona 40.42%
Draw 26.19%
| Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.37% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.42% |
How you voted: Spezia vs Hellas Verona
Spezia
21.9%Draw
18.8%Hellas Verona
59.4%96
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Hellas Verona
1-1
Spezia
Sep 25, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 5
Hellas Verona
2-1
Spezia
Form Guide
