In danger of sinking into the bottom half of the table after a terrible run, Hellas Verona welcome relegation-threatened Spezia to Stadio Bentegodi on Saturday.
While the hosts have now lost five of their last six following defeat to unstoppable Inter last time out, a streak of one point from a possible nine has seen the Aquilotti's drop fears renewed.
Match preview
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Though they fell to a fourth consecutive defeat last weekend, it took a hard-fought 90 minutes from champions-elect Inter to seal victory against Verona at San Siro - with the away side having an equal share of possession and as many shots on goal.
Wing-back Matteo Darmian was the unlikely scorer of the game's only goal, firing home in the 76th minute to end any Hellas hopes of a taking a point back to Veneto.
A second-half collapse at Sampdoria had previously brought about a second straight defeat for the Scaligeri - who shipped three goals to their closest rivals in the Serie A standings - before a disappointing reverse to Fiorentina saw them slip down to tenth in the table.
In all, the Venetians have now lost seven of their last eight top-flight outings and currently have the lowest goals tally of any club in the top half of the standings - highlighting undoubtedly their most fundamental flaw.
January buy Kevin Lasagna has failed to shake off his unproductive spell at previous club Udinese, while fellow striker Nikola Kalinic has spent much of the season on the treatment table. Furthermore, much-admired playmaker Mattia Zaccagni had been involved in 10 goals during the first half of the campaign, but in the second half so far, he has not yet scored or laid on a single Gialloblu goal.
Verona have, though, got precedent on their side this weekend, as they have won their last four Serie A fixtures against promoted teams and lost only one of their last nine against Spezia - beating the Ligurians 10 times out of 15 at the Bentegodi.
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After hanging on for a famous draw versus table-topping Inter last week, just days later that euphoria was sharply expelled from the Spezia camp, as Vincenzo Italiano's side went down to a 2-0 defeat at mid-table Genoa.
That reverse took their tally to six straight losses on the road, as any hopes of a remarkable top-half finish have foundered - to be replaced by fears for their future in the top flight.
Having surprised many with their admirable approach and ability to pick up points from unlikely places - such as both Milan clubs - their debut Serie A season is now in danger of ending with demotion back to the second tier.
Spezia's relegation rivals - such as in-form pair Cagliari and Torino - have started to catch up ground lost to the Ligurians earlier in the campaign and, heading into a potentially pivotal weekend, Italiano could see his team sink into the bottom three if results go against them.
Having picked up just one point from their last three to sit two points clear of the drop zone, the Aquilotti are in need of a positive result against ailing opposition - and with Napoli and Roma still to face in their final four games.
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Team News
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Verona coach Ivan Juric still has several availability issues to contend with, in addition to his side's alarming loss of form.
Though on-loan midfielder Stefano Sturaro returns from suspension, centre-back Federico Ceccherini will be banned for yellow card accumulation and Matteo Lovato has missed out recently due to a thigh injury, so will have to be assessed ahead of the game.
Ronaldo Vieira is still absent from the squad as he recovers from a thigh issue of his own, while club captain Miguel Veloso has had surgery on a neck injury and remains sidelined. Fellow midfielder Daniel Bessa has found favour of late, but Mattia Zaccagni may be re-introduced to Juric's starting XI in the hope he can rediscover his sparkling form of 2020.
Spezia, meanwhile, make the trip to Veneto with no injury concerns to hinder Vincenzo Italiano's selection, so a similar team to that which lost against Genoa could be fielded.
While Italiano's customary midfield trio has two near-certain starters - Matteo Ricci and Giulio Maggiore - Milan loanee Tommaso Pobega, Leo Sena and Nahuel Estevez will fight it out for the remaining place. In attack, Daniele Verde is expected to challenge Diego Farias for a spot on the left flank, in support of out-of-form top scorer M'Bala Nzola.
Hellas Verona possible starting lineup:
Silvestri; Dawidowicz, Gunter, Dimarco; Faraoni, Tameze, Ilic, Lazovic; Zaccagni, Barak; Lasagna
Spezia possible starting lineup:
Provedel; Vignali, Erlic, Ismajli, Bastoni; Sena, Ricci, Maggiore; Verde, Nzola, Gyasi
We say: Hellas Verona 1-1 Spezia
Either side has found finishing a problem of late - with both scoring just twice in their last three games - and the pair are sinking fast down the Serie A standings.
A close-fought encounter should be expected, then, as even though a point apiece does little to satisfy either manager, it would at least keep their teams in contention to reach their respective aims of a top-half finish and staying in the top flight.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
