We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Monza
Despite missing arguably their most talented forward in the shape of Gonzalez, we expect Fiorentina to edge an entertaining encounter on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
65.87% ( 0.06) | 18.7% ( 0.09) | 15.43% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.01% ( -0.72) | 35.99% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.91% ( -0.8) | 58.09% ( 0.8) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.8% ( -0.18) | 10.2% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.52% ( -0.42) | 33.48% ( 0.43) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% ( -0.63) | 36.26% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.96% ( -0.65) | 73.04% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 65.87%
Monza 15.43%
Draw 18.7%
| Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.05% Total : 65.87% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 15.43% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Monza
Fiorentina
85.5%Draw
10.1%Monza
4.3%69
Head to Head
