Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza1 - 2Bologna
We said: Monza 1-2 Bologna
Now that Bologna have recorded their first win of the Motta era, we can envisage them notching back-to-back victories away to Monza on Monday. There is little doubt that the visitors possess more individual quality within their ranks, while Palladino's honeymoon period appears to be over for the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bologna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Bologna |
59.95% ( 0.3) | 21.56% ( -0.09) | 18.49% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.32% ( 0.06) | 43.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.93% ( 0.06) | 66.07% ( -0.06) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% ( 0.11) | 14.16% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.15% ( 0.22) | 41.85% ( -0.22) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% ( -0.2) | 37.34% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.88% ( -0.2) | 74.12% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Monza 59.95%
Bologna 18.49%
Draw 21.56%
| Monza | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.49% |
How you voted: Monza vs Bologna
Monza
37.4%Draw
18.4%Bologna
44.1%179
