Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Oct 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 2
Bologna

Petagna (57' pen.)
Santos (52'), Sensi (56'), Rovella (62'), D'Alessandro (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferguson (60'), Orsolini (73')
Aebischer (3'), Medel (52'), Motta (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Monza and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 4-1 Monza
Saturday, October 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Now that Bologna have recorded their first win of the Motta era, we can envisage them notching back-to-back victories away to Monza on Monday. There is little doubt that the visitors possess more individual quality within their ranks, while Palladino's honeymoon period appears to be over for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bologna in this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Bologna
59.95% ( 0.3)	21.56% ( -0.09)	18.49% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 53.79% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.32% (

0.06)

43.68% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.93% (

0.06)

66.07% (

-0.06)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.83% (

0.11)

14.16% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.15% (

0.22)

41.85% (

-0.22)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66% (

-0.2)

37.34% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.88% (

-0.2)

74.12% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Monza 59.95%

Bologna 18.49%

Draw 21.56%

Monza	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.95%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.56%	0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.49%