Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bologna in this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Bologna |
59.95% ( 0.3) | 21.56% ( -0.09) | 18.49% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.32% ( 0.06) | 43.68% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.93% ( 0.06) | 66.07% ( -0.06) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.83% ( 0.11) | 14.16% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.15% ( 0.22) | 41.85% ( -0.22) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.66% ( -0.2) | 37.34% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.88% ( -0.2) | 74.12% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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