Coppa Italia | Second Round
Oct 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna1 - 0Cagliari
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 3-2 Bologna
Sunday, October 16 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 16 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Brescia
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B
We said: Bologna 1-0 Cagliari (after extra time)
Neither team have scored freely this term, and it could be a close-run contest at Dall'Ara. The hosts may start favourites against Serie B opposition, but Cagliari's recent top-flight experience means they can push Bologna all the way. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Cagliari |
45.53% ( 0.39) | 25.72% ( 0.05) | 28.75% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% ( -0.43) | 51.14% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% ( -0.38) | 72.99% ( 0.38) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% | 22.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.05% ( -0) | 55.95% ( 0.01) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( -0.55) | 32.2% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.31% ( -0.63) | 68.69% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
Bologna 45.53%
Cagliari 28.75%
Draw 25.72%
| Bologna | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.75% |
How you voted: Bologna vs Cagliari
Bologna
78.8%Draw
17.3%Cagliari
3.8%52
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 1, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2020 7.45pm
Jul 1, 2020 6.30pm
