Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza3 - 0Salernitana
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Monza
Thursday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Thursday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Monza 1-2 Salernitana
Salernitana will be angry after falling to a late defeat against Fiorentina in midweek, and we can envisage them bouncing back with a win on Sunday. Monza are at least one year behind their forthcoming opponents in terms of their development, and that may be more obvious than expected at the weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
59.59% ( 0.21) | 22.19% ( -0.02) | 18.22% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.2) | 46.83% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( -0.18) | 69.09% ( 0.18) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( 0) | 15.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.93% ( 0) | 44.07% ( -0.01) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( -0.33) | 39.49% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.82% ( -0.31) | 76.18% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
Monza 59.58%
Salernitana 18.22%
Draw 22.18%
| Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.58% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.22% |
How you voted: Monza vs Salernitana
Monza
30.6%Draw
22.2%Salernitana
47.2%72
Head to Head
Form Guide
