Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 0Monza
We said: Lazio 2-1 Monza
After their aberration against Salernitana, in-form Lazio got back on the winning trail in the best possible manner at the weekend, and after toppling bitter rivals Roma they can claim three points again on Thursday. Monza certainly present a threat and stand a good chance of breaching the Aquile's strong defence, but they are nonetheless set to return from the capital empty-handed. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Monza |
58.17% ( -0.02) | 21.88% ( 0.03) | 19.95% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( -0.14) | 42.93% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( -0.13) | 65.33% ( 0.13) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% ( -0.06) | 14.47% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.55% ( -0.1) | 42.45% ( 0.1) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.65% ( -0.08) | 35.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.89% ( -0.09) | 72.1% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 58.17%
Monza 19.95%
Draw 21.88%
| Lazio | Draw | Monza |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 58.17% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.95% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Monza
Lazio
87.9%Draw
9.7%Monza
2.4%165
